Subjective Experience in AI Systems: What Do AI Researchers and the Public Believe?
evidenceconsciousnesswelfare
Noemi Dreksler, Lucius Caviola, David Chalmers, Carter Allen, Alex Rand, Joshua Lewis, Philip Waggoner, Kate Mays, Jeff Sebo · 2025-06 · Paper · Intermediate · 215 min read
The largest survey of attitudes toward AI subjective experience: 582 AI researchers and 838 US adults. Both groups converge on 50% probability by 2050. ~17-18% already believe at least one AI system has subjective experience. Both estimate ~55-60% chance we could detect it if it existed — implying a 40% chance of failure. Deep internal disagreement on moral and governance questions. Support for welfare protections exceeds opposition but remains far below support for animals or environment. Majority in both groups: implement safeguards now.